Document Type : Research Article
Authors
1 gricultural Economics, Tehran University, Iran
2 Chair, Foreign Trade & Marketing Research Department; Agricultural Planning, Economics and Rural Development Research Institute
Abstract
Present study, compares Iran's agricultural products competitiveness power with MENA's countries during 1995-2011. For accomplishing mentioned goal, first, agricultural commodities export and import indices calculated for each one of twenty countries of mentioned region and then revealed comparative advantages index of agricultural commodities trade calculated. Results showed that Iran had comparative advantages in agricultural commodities export only in 1998. Investigating correlation among MENA's countries revealed that Iran had positive relationship with Libya, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Oman and Syria. So, it is concluded that Iran's agricultural products export comparative advantages correlated with mentioned countries and for developing agricultural products export we should consider mentioned countries policies in a way that new export goal markets and trade benefits increase have been accomplished. In order to investigate Iran's position in exporting agricultural commodity, Iran's export comparative advantages forecasted till 2017 via ARIMA. Results revealed that mentioned index had declining trend in forecasted period which raised the need of applying serious policies for controlling negative consequences and also, performing the program of nonpetroleum commodities trade expansion document and reducing the petroleum income dependency. Evaluating Iran's trade plan showed that Iran was the loser in market during 2007 till 2009 in agricultural commodities export and loses trade goal markets or could not acquire new share in markets proportionate with global import growth.
Keywords
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